SÉLECTION STRICTE PAR VALIDATION

Ticksize 1h/2h/3h/6h, H≈24h, modèles/sizing

120 configs. Le tableau est trié par score Validation. Le Test est reporting-only pour confirmer/invalider. Barrières dynamiques vol30×sqrt(H), high/low depuis CSV 5min.

Configs120
Best Val255.61
Test du best-Val-109.20
Best cfg3h_H8_k25_huber_full

Leaderboard trié Validation

ConfigSeuilVal scoreVal gainVal DDTest scoreTest gainTest DDTradesTPSLTimeout
3h H=8 k=2.5 huber full
3h_H8_k25_huber_full · rows=8907
p60255.61315.82%-40.14%-109.20-30.33%-52.58%3087.1%10.4%82.5%
6h H=4 k=2.0 huber full
6h_H4_k20_huber_full · rows=4448
p70236.52295.14%-39.08%-37.336.23%-29.04%1958.7%12.3%79.0%
3h H=8 k=2.0 huber full
3h_H8_k20_huber_full · rows=8907
p90177.05218.18%-27.42%-29.7026.50%-37.47%13211.4%13.6%75.0%
3h H=8 k=2.5 huber half
3h_H8_k25_huber_half · rows=8907
p6090.62123.67%-22.04%-53.72-11.86%-27.91%3087.1%10.4%82.5%
6h H=4 k=2.0 ridge full
6h_H4_k20_ridge_full · rows=4448
p9090.16130.29%-26.75%14.7540.20%-16.96%8716.1%9.2%74.7%
6h H=4 k=2.0 huber half
6h_H4_k20_huber_half · rows=4448
p7081.29113.16%-21.25%-15.656.49%-14.76%1958.7%12.3%79.0%
6h H=4 k=2.25 huber full
6h_H4_k225_huber_full · rows=4448
p9077.48115.98%-25.67%-18.3414.86%-22.13%7711.7%14.3%74.0%
1h duration variant H=36 k=2.25 ridge half
1h_H36_k225_ridge_half · rows=26744
p6072.74111.48%-25.82%12.4242.54%-20.08%25814.7%10.1%75.2%
6h H=4 k=2.5 huber full
6h_H4_k25_huber_full · rows=4448
p9071.78110.57%-25.86%-29.893.31%-22.13%7211.1%13.9%75.0%
3h H=8 k=2.0 huber half
3h_H8_k20_huber_half · rows=8907
p9066.7487.88%-14.09%-15.1515.38%-20.35%13211.4%13.6%75.0%
3h H=8 k=2.25 huber full
3h_H8_k225_huber_full · rows=8907
p9064.00110.32%-30.88%-52.49-3.22%-32.85%1258.0%13.6%78.4%
1h duration variant H=12 k=2.25 ridge half
1h_H12_k225_ridge_half · rows=26744
p7048.3880.97%-21.73%1.8634.02%-21.44%57810.0%9.0%81.0%
2h H=12 k=2.0 extratrees full
2h_H12_k20_extratrees_full · rows=13366
p7040.88112.46%-47.72%6.5150.53%-29.34%27512.4%10.2%77.5%
6h H=4 k=2.0 ridge half
6h_H4_k20_ridge_half · rows=4448
p9037.0458.13%-14.06%7.1520.29%-8.76%8716.1%9.2%74.7%
6h H=4 k=2.25 huber half
6h_H4_k225_huber_half · rows=4448
p9034.1253.67%-13.04%-8.159.14%-11.53%7711.7%14.3%74.0%
3h H=8 k=2.5 huber vol_target
3h_H8_k25_huber_vol_target · rows=8907
p6032.5753.53%-13.97%-36.59-10.39%-17.47%3087.1%10.4%82.5%
6h H=4 k=2.5 huber half
6h_H4_k25_huber_half · rows=4448
p9031.0851.66%-13.72%-13.803.49%-11.53%7211.1%13.9%75.0%
3h H=8 k=2.0 huber vol_target
3h_H8_k20_huber_vol_target · rows=8907
p9028.8841.41%-8.36%-7.1810.25%-11.62%13211.4%13.6%75.0%
3h H=8 k=2.25 huber half
3h_H8_k225_huber_half · rows=8907
p9028.3552.29%-15.96%-25.410.89%-17.54%1258.0%13.6%78.4%
6h H=4 k=2.0 huber vol_target
6h_H4_k20_huber_vol_target · rows=4448
p9024.4237.93%-9.00%-7.412.68%-6.73%8810.2%14.8%75.0%
1h duration variant H=36 k=2.25 ridge vol_target
1h_H36_k225_ridge_vol_target · rows=26744
p6022.4943.98%-14.33%4.8820.57%-10.46%25814.7%10.1%75.2%
6h H=4 k=2.0 ridge vol_target
6h_H4_k20_ridge_vol_target · rows=4448
p9017.9434.69%-11.17%7.7214.70%-4.65%8716.1%9.2%74.7%
2h H=12 k=2.0 extratrees half
2h_H12_k20_extratrees_half · rows=13366
p7017.8157.58%-26.52%4.9628.06%-15.40%27512.4%10.2%77.5%
1h duration variant H=48 k=2.25 huber half
1h_H48_k225_huber_half · rows=26744
p7010.9251.60%-27.12%-58.01-12.07%-30.62%19013.2%17.4%69.5%
6h H=4 k=2.25 huber vol_target
6h_H4_k225_huber_vol_target · rows=4448
p9010.6823.16%-8.32%-3.175.65%-5.88%7711.7%14.3%74.0%
2h H=12 k=2.25 extratrees full
2h_H12_k225_extratrees_full · rows=13366
p8010.6286.43%-50.54%33.4887.35%-35.91%21412.6%7.5%79.9%
3h H=8 k=2.25 huber vol_target
3h_H8_k225_huber_vol_target · rows=8907
p9010.2523.83%-9.06%-13.650.71%-9.57%1258.0%13.6%78.4%
6h H=4 k=2.5 huber vol_target
6h_H4_k25_huber_vol_target · rows=4448
p908.9522.24%-8.86%-6.682.14%-5.88%7211.1%13.9%75.0%
1h duration variant H=12 k=2.25 ridge vol_target
1h_H12_k225_ridge_vol_target · rows=26744
p707.1735.49%-18.88%-22.734.64%-18.25%57810.0%9.0%81.0%
2h H=12 k=2.25 extratrees half
2h_H12_k225_extratrees_half · rows=13366
p804.3047.80%-29.00%13.2241.97%-19.17%21412.6%7.5%79.9%
2h H=12 k=2.0 extratrees vol_target
2h_H12_k20_extratrees_vol_target · rows=13366
p703.4131.07%-18.44%-0.1815.56%-10.50%27512.4%10.2%77.5%
1h duration variant H=48 k=2.25 huber vol_target
1h_H48_k225_huber_vol_target · rows=26744
p70-0.0423.60%-15.76%-30.61-5.38%-16.82%19013.2%17.4%69.5%
6h H=4 k=2.5 extratrees half
6h_H4_k25_extratrees_half · rows=4448
p90-0.7527.52%-18.85%-22.37-1.05%-14.22%9612.5%10.4%77.1%
6h H=4 k=2.5 ridge half
6h_H4_k25_ridge_half · rows=4448
p90-1.0424.24%-16.85%-13.418.08%-14.33%8012.5%10.0%77.5%
2h H=12 k=2.0 ridge half
2h_H12_k20_ridge_half · rows=13366
p70-1.2233.96%-23.45%8.6744.00%-23.55%30113.3%11.6%75.1%
2h H=12 k=2.5 ridge half
2h_H12_k25_ridge_half · rows=13366
p70-2.2639.43%-27.79%-33.318.37%-27.78%2799.0%7.9%83.2%
6h H=4 k=2.5 ridge vol_target
6h_H4_k25_ridge_vol_target · rows=4448
p90-2.3213.07%-10.26%-4.735.85%-7.06%8012.5%10.0%77.5%
6h H=4 k=2.25 ridge half
6h_H4_k225_ridge_half · rows=4448
p80-4.3723.43%-18.53%18.4631.48%-8.68%14612.3%7.5%80.1%
2h H=12 k=2.5 ridge vol_target
2h_H12_k25_ridge_vol_target · rows=13366
p70-4.6617.97%-15.09%-18.335.59%-15.95%2799.0%7.9%83.2%
3h H=8 k=2.25 ridge half
3h_H8_k225_ridge_half · rows=8907
p80-4.9439.33%-29.51%-12.4413.49%-17.29%19511.8%7.2%81.0%
6h H=4 k=2.5 extratrees full
6h_H4_k25_extratrees_full · rows=4448
p90-5.2049.06%-36.18%-46.04-5.99%-26.70%9612.5%10.4%77.1%
2h H=12 k=2.0 huber half
2h_H12_k20_huber_half · rows=13366
p60-5.6328.20%-22.55%-62.15-9.33%-35.21%3359.6%12.8%77.6%
6h H=4 k=2.5 extratrees vol_target
6h_H4_k25_extratrees_vol_target · rows=4448
p90-5.6811.17%-11.23%-16.25-1.85%-9.60%9612.5%10.4%77.1%
2h H=12 k=2.5 extratrees half
2h_H12_k25_extratrees_half · rows=13366
p70-5.7443.83%-33.05%49.9474.18%-16.16%27810.1%6.1%83.8%
1h duration variant H=36 k=2.25 huber half
1h_H36_k225_huber_half · rows=26744
p90-5.9929.07%-23.38%-21.576.14%-18.48%15514.2%17.4%68.4%
6h H=4 k=2.25 ridge vol_target
6h_H4_k225_ridge_vol_target · rows=4448
p90-6.1310.68%-11.21%6.4014.48%-5.39%8714.9%8.0%77.0%
6h H=4 k=2.5 ridge full
6h_H4_k25_ridge_full · rows=4448
p90-7.4341.76%-32.79%-29.1012.88%-27.99%8012.5%10.0%77.5%
2h H=12 k=2.0 huber vol_target
2h_H12_k20_huber_vol_target · rows=13366
p60-7.7515.57%-15.54%-44.86-7.60%-24.84%3359.6%12.8%77.6%
2h H=12 k=2.5 extratrees vol_target
2h_H12_k25_extratrees_vol_target · rows=13366
p60-8.8617.79%-17.76%10.8732.65%-14.52%3099.7%5.2%85.1%
1h duration variant H=36 k=2.25 huber vol_target
1h_H36_k225_huber_vol_target · rows=26744
p90-10.569.16%-13.15%-13.992.88%-11.25%15514.2%17.4%68.4%
2h H=12 k=2.5 extratrees full
2h_H12_k25_extratrees_full · rows=13366
p70-10.6573.82%-56.31%131.10177.29%-30.79%27810.1%6.1%83.8%
2h H=12 k=2.5 ridge full
2h_H12_k25_ridge_full · rows=13366
p70-10.7564.45%-50.13%-68.237.40%-50.42%2799.0%7.9%83.2%
3h H=8 k=2.25 ridge full
3h_H8_k225_ridge_full · rows=8907
p80-10.8966.10%-51.32%-29.7420.70%-33.63%19511.8%7.2%81.0%
3h H=8 k=2.25 extratrees vol_target
3h_H8_k225_extratrees_vol_target · rows=8907
p80-11.7614.21%-17.32%-27.06-3.78%-15.52%21211.8%10.8%77.4%
2h H=12 k=2.25 extratrees vol_target
2h_H12_k225_extratrees_vol_target · rows=13366
p80-11.9518.79%-20.49%6.6622.72%-10.71%21412.6%7.5%79.9%
2h H=12 k=2.25 ridge vol_target
2h_H12_k225_ridge_vol_target · rows=13366
p60-12.2218.37%-20.39%-7.5815.60%-15.45%3189.1%9.4%81.4%
3h H=8 k=2.0 ridge half
3h_H8_k20_ridge_half · rows=8907
p80-13.2030.10%-28.87%-2.8916.66%-13.04%19913.1%9.5%77.4%
2h H=12 k=2.25 ridge half
2h_H12_k225_ridge_half · rows=13366
p60-13.9035.85%-33.17%-12.6627.24%-26.60%3189.1%9.4%81.4%
1h duration variant H=48 k=2.25 ridge vol_target
1h_H48_k225_ridge_vol_target · rows=26744
p90-14.0814.93%-19.34%0.4612.37%-7.94%13715.3%15.3%69.3%
2h H=12 k=2.0 ridge full
2h_H12_k20_ridge_full · rows=13366
p70-14.1651.57%-43.82%22.7188.99%-44.19%30113.3%11.6%75.1%
6h H=4 k=2.25 ridge full
6h_H4_k225_ridge_full · rows=4448
p80-16.4935.56%-34.70%39.1564.37%-16.82%14612.3%7.5%80.1%
1h H=24 k=2.5 ridge vol_target
1h_H24_k25_ridge_vol_target · rows=26744
p80-16.7310.42%-18.10%-10.225.47%-10.46%2898.0%11.4%80.6%
2h H=12 k=2.0 ridge vol_target
2h_H12_k20_ridge_vol_target · rows=13366
p80-17.5910.59%-18.79%-2.1019.33%-14.29%23911.7%10.9%77.4%
6h H=4 k=2.25 extratrees vol_target
6h_H4_k225_extratrees_vol_target · rows=4448
p90-18.234.92%-15.43%-11.550.30%-7.90%9713.4%11.3%75.3%
3h H=8 k=2.25 ridge vol_target
3h_H8_k225_ridge_vol_target · rows=8907
p80-18.3412.56%-20.60%-2.8310.84%-9.11%19511.8%7.2%81.0%
3h H=8 k=2.25 extratrees half
3h_H8_k225_extratrees_half · rows=8907
p80-18.9126.39%-30.20%-48.95-8.97%-26.65%21211.8%10.8%77.4%
3h H=8 k=2.0 ridge vol_target
3h_H8_k20_ridge_vol_target · rows=8907
p80-20.329.98%-20.20%-0.7612.50%-8.84%19913.1%9.5%77.4%
2h H=12 k=2.25 huber vol_target
2h_H12_k225_huber_vol_target · rows=13366
p90-20.751.84%-15.06%-12.84-0.17%-8.45%1417.1%12.1%80.9%
3h H=8 k=2.5 ridge vol_target
3h_H8_k25_ridge_vol_target · rows=8907
p60-23.975.19%-19.44%19.4135.06%-10.44%29711.4%5.7%82.8%
2h H=12 k=2.0 huber full
2h_H12_k20_huber_full · rows=13366
p60-24.0237.92%-41.30%-116.46-26.51%-59.96%3359.6%12.8%77.6%
1h H=24 k=2.5 ridge half
1h_H24_k25_ridge_half · rows=26744
p80-24.3821.09%-30.31%-1.6322.76%-16.26%2898.0%11.4%80.6%
6h H=4 k=2.0 extratrees vol_target
6h_H4_k20_extratrees_vol_target · rows=4448
p90-24.68-3.46%-14.15%6.4714.82%-5.57%8514.1%8.2%77.6%
1h H=24 k=2.5 huber vol_target
1h_H24_k25_huber_vol_target · rows=26744
p60-26.281.10%-18.25%-40.50-12.26%-18.82%3516.6%11.1%82.3%
1h H=24 k=2.0 ridge half
1h_H24_k20_ridge_half · rows=26744
p60-26.7636.35%-42.08%38.9461.61%-15.11%36311.8%12.7%75.5%
1h duration variant H=48 k=2.25 ridge half
1h_H48_k225_ridge_half · rows=26744
p90-26.7727.65%-36.28%3.0226.18%-15.44%13715.3%15.3%69.3%
1h duration variant H=12 k=2.25 huber half
1h_H12_k225_huber_half · rows=26744
p90-27.2214.11%-27.55%-38.35-4.79%-22.37%2548.3%13.0%78.7%
6h H=4 k=2.25 extratrees half
6h_H4_k225_extratrees_half · rows=4448
p90-27.3810.61%-25.33%-15.542.03%-11.72%9713.4%11.3%75.3%
2h H=12 k=2.25 ridge full
2h_H12_k225_ridge_full · rows=13366
p60-30.2454.97%-56.81%-24.8346.29%-47.41%3189.1%9.4%81.4%
3h H=8 k=2.0 extratrees vol_target
3h_H8_k20_extratrees_vol_target · rows=8907
p60-30.970.05%-20.68%-27.86-3.48%-16.26%29211.3%9.9%78.8%
2h H=12 k=2.5 huber vol_target
2h_H12_k25_huber_vol_target · rows=13366
p90-30.97-8.05%-15.28%-19.01-3.92%-10.06%1427.7%12.0%80.3%
1h H=24 k=2.5 extratrees vol_target
1h_H24_k25_extratrees_vol_target · rows=26744
p80-31.271.38%-21.76%1.0812.71%-7.75%23910.0%9.2%80.8%
2h H=12 k=2.25 huber half
2h_H12_k225_huber_half · rows=13366
p90-31.914.72%-24.41%-20.311.20%-14.34%1417.1%12.1%80.9%
3h H=8 k=2.0 ridge full
3h_H8_k20_ridge_full · rows=8907
p80-32.9945.87%-52.57%-12.0027.80%-26.53%19913.1%9.5%77.4%
1h H=24 k=2.0 ridge vol_target
1h_H24_k20_ridge_vol_target · rows=26744
p70-34.529.83%-29.57%8.4432.50%-16.04%34515.4%13.6%71.0%
1h duration variant H=12 k=2.25 huber vol_target
1h_H12_k225_huber_vol_target · rows=26744
p90-34.96-1.59%-22.25%-29.25-5.12%-16.09%2548.3%13.0%78.7%
1h H=24 k=2.25 huber half
1h_H24_k225_huber_half · rows=26744
p60-35.866.98%-28.56%-63.29-19.38%-29.28%3597.0%13.9%79.1%
1h H=24 k=2.5 extratrees half
1h_H24_k25_extratrees_half · rows=26744
p80-35.9911.53%-31.68%12.5029.98%-11.65%23910.0%9.2%80.8%
1h H=24 k=2.0 extratrees vol_target
1h_H24_k20_extratrees_vol_target · rows=26744
p60-39.49-0.26%-26.16%-3.5614.06%-11.75%34912.3%12.3%75.4%
1h H=24 k=2.25 ridge vol_target
1h_H24_k225_ridge_vol_target · rows=26744
p80-39.74-7.38%-21.58%-21.490.37%-14.57%2868.7%11.9%79.4%
1h H=24 k=2.5 huber half
1h_H24_k25_huber_half · rows=26744
p60-40.039.21%-32.83%-52.05-7.72%-29.55%3516.6%11.1%82.3%
1h H=24 k=2.25 extratrees vol_target
1h_H24_k225_extratrees_vol_target · rows=26744
p60-40.20-1.91%-25.53%-4.6515.50%-13.43%34411.0%9.0%79.9%
3h H=8 k=2.25 extratrees full
3h_H8_k225_extratrees_full · rows=8907
p80-41.8037.20%-52.66%-97.09-23.48%-49.08%21211.8%10.8%77.4%
3h H=8 k=2.5 ridge half
3h_H8_k25_ridge_half · rows=8907
p60-42.789.73%-35.01%45.8871.57%-17.12%29711.4%5.7%82.8%
1h H=24 k=2.25 huber vol_target
1h_H24_k225_huber_vol_target · rows=26744
p90-44.23-8.78%-23.63%-30.45-10.72%-13.15%1949.3%17.0%73.7%
6h H=4 k=2.0 extratrees half
6h_H4_k20_extratrees_half · rows=4448
p80-44.379.42%-35.85%-10.9718.66%-19.76%16611.4%9.6%78.9%
1h H=24 k=2.0 huber half
1h_H24_k20_huber_half · rows=26744
p90-45.061.80%-31.24%-45.43-13.45%-21.32%1959.7%17.9%72.3%
1h H=24 k=2.0 ridge full
1h_H24_k20_ridge_full · rows=26744
p60-46.6654.79%-67.64%92.09134.89%-28.53%36311.8%12.7%75.5%
3h H=8 k=2.5 extratrees vol_target
3h_H8_k25_extratrees_vol_target · rows=8907
p90-46.92-13.57%-22.23%-20.50-1.65%-12.56%12711.0%10.2%78.7%
1h H=24 k=2.0 huber vol_target
1h_H24_k20_huber_vol_target · rows=26744
p90-47.82-10.62%-24.80%-31.33-10.57%-13.84%1959.7%17.9%72.3%
1h H=24 k=2.25 ridge half
1h_H24_k225_ridge_half · rows=26744
p90-48.953.08%-34.69%-24.632.85%-18.32%1918.9%12.6%78.5%
1h H=24 k=2.0 extratrees half
1h_H24_k20_extratrees_half · rows=26744
p80-49.64-7.64%-28.01%-16.878.09%-16.64%26011.2%13.8%75.0%
3h H=8 k=2.0 extratrees half
3h_H8_k20_extratrees_half · rows=8907
p60-50.752.56%-35.54%-40.26-7.28%-21.99%29211.3%9.9%78.8%
1h H=24 k=2.25 extratrees half
1h_H24_k225_extratrees_half · rows=26744
p60-55.04-0.84%-36.14%6.5333.00%-17.65%34411.0%9.0%79.9%
2h H=12 k=2.5 huber half
2h_H12_k25_huber_half · rows=13366
p90-55.48-13.69%-27.86%-36.89-8.13%-19.17%1427.7%12.0%80.3%
1h H=24 k=2.5 ridge full
1h_H24_k25_ridge_full · rows=26744
p80-56.1624.04%-53.46%-8.1937.50%-30.46%2898.0%11.4%80.6%
6h H=4 k=2.25 extratrees full
6h_H4_k225_extratrees_full · rows=4448
p90-57.5511.32%-45.91%-34.11-0.25%-22.57%9713.4%11.3%75.3%
2h H=12 k=2.25 huber full
2h_H12_k225_huber_full · rows=13366
p90-72.58-3.63%-45.97%-45.63-3.11%-28.34%1417.1%12.1%80.9%
1h H=24 k=2.5 extratrees full
1h_H24_k25_extratrees_full · rows=26744
p80-77.545.57%-55.41%21.2955.53%-22.82%23910.0%9.2%80.8%
3h H=8 k=2.5 extratrees half
3h_H8_k25_extratrees_half · rows=8907
p90-78.11-23.63%-36.32%-43.19-8.21%-23.32%12711.0%10.2%78.7%
1h H=24 k=2.25 huber full
1h_H24_k225_huber_full · rows=26744
p60-79.82-4.41%-50.28%-118.41-41.85%-51.04%3597.0%13.9%79.1%
6h H=4 k=2.0 extratrees full
6h_H4_k20_extratrees_full · rows=4448
p80-84.935.46%-60.26%-20.9434.14%-36.72%16611.4%9.6%78.9%
1h H=24 k=2.5 huber full
1h_H24_k25_huber_full · rows=26744
p60-85.53-0.86%-56.45%-102.39-23.79%-52.40%3516.6%11.1%82.3%
3h H=8 k=2.5 ridge full
3h_H8_k25_ridge_full · rows=8907
p60-87.270.98%-58.84%116.37165.04%-32.45%29711.4%5.7%82.8%
1h H=24 k=2.0 huber full
1h_H24_k20_huber_full · rows=26744
p90-91.45-10.68%-53.85%-90.39-30.27%-40.08%1959.7%17.9%72.3%
1h H=24 k=2.25 ridge full
1h_H24_k225_ridge_full · rows=26744
p90-98.58-9.05%-59.69%-55.40-0.68%-36.48%1918.9%12.6%78.5%
1h H=24 k=2.0 extratrees full
1h_H24_k20_extratrees_full · rows=26744
p60-100.26-3.67%-64.39%7.4752.42%-29.97%34912.3%12.3%75.4%
3h H=8 k=2.0 extratrees full
3h_H8_k20_extratrees_full · rows=8907
p60-104.06-11.67%-61.59%-84.59-21.67%-41.95%29211.3%9.9%78.8%
1h H=24 k=2.25 extratrees full
1h_H24_k225_extratrees_full · rows=26744
p60-112.03-16.79%-63.50%9.1758.76%-33.06%34411.0%9.0%79.9%
2h H=12 k=2.5 huber full
2h_H12_k25_huber_full · rows=13366
p90-114.51-34.84%-53.11%-75.28-20.46%-36.55%1427.7%12.0%80.3%
3h H=8 k=2.5 extratrees full
3h_H8_k25_extratrees_full · rows=8907
p90-140.11-48.80%-60.87%-84.31-20.26%-42.70%12711.0%10.2%78.7%

Note

Sélection rigoureuse: le meilleur est choisi par Validation. Les résultats Test ne servent qu'à juger le transfert. Les ticksize plus petits augmentent fortement le nombre de samples, mais peuvent aussi augmenter le bruit microstructurel.