Comparaison normalisée

Score capital %

Capital initial 100. Pour comparer les horizons, le label cumulé est amorti par output_window: ret_step ≈ signal × y/output_window. Score principal: gain_pct - 1.5 × abs(max_drawdown_pct). Le Test reste reporting-only; la Validation choisit les seuils.

Runs scorés84v4 complets
Formulegain% - 1.5DD%capital 100

Classement par idée — meilleur run choisi sur Validation

IdéeRunsBest run ValVal scoreVal gainVal DDSeuil capitalTest scoreTest gainTest DDTest médianGain médianDD médianRuns +FeaturesWin/Out
regime_multi_resolution_output204/4run_0071_cnn1d_pnl_adamw276.1426306.28%-20.09%p0-83.1434-21.07%-41.38%-72.4801-22.83%-30.67%0/4regime_multi_resolution80 / 20
no_signflip_multi_resolution_output204/4run_0079_cnn1d_pnl_adamw228.7107263.24%-23.02%p0-102.3769-36.17%-44.14%-73.2866-24.53%-32.41%0/4multi_resolution80 / 20
cross_sectional_output604/4run_0076_tcn_huber_adamw194.4847211.27%-11.19%p084.3512130.39%-30.69%-44.1405-10.14%-32.14%1/4cross_sectional80 / 60
short_input_404/4run_0039_cnn1d_pnl_adamw191.7437229.87%-25.42%p0-83.8367-27.38%-37.64%-46.2134-8.80%-25.07%0/4regime40 / 40
regime_features4/4run_0010_cnn1d_pnl_adamw187.2258215.78%-19.04%p0-80.3716-21.33%-39.36%-57.8514-16.09%-29.73%0/4regime80 / 40
fees_2bps_stress4/4run_0051_cnn1d_pnl_adamw187.2258215.78%-19.04%p0-80.3716-21.33%-39.36%-68.0630-21.61%-30.97%0/4regime80 / 40
time_pct_minmax4/4run_0006_cnn1d_pnl_adamw180.3419217.14%-24.53%p0-119.1926-43.58%-50.41%-74.5282-16.06%-39.40%0/4base80 / 40
regime_ohlc_ta_output204/4run_0067_cnn1d_pnl_adamw169.6702210.14%-26.98%p0-63.8898-10.28%-35.74%-39.0322-6.44%-21.73%0/4regime_ohlc_ta80 / 20
ta_ohlc_atr_rsi_output204/4run_0055_cnn1d_pnl_adamw165.3142206.59%-27.52%p0-120.2944-44.24%-50.70%-90.0870-32.98%-38.07%0/4ohlc_ta80 / 20
multi_resolution_regime_output204/4run_0059_cnn1d_pnl_adamw155.5216185.67%-20.10%p0-95.5368-27.20%-45.56%-36.9852-0.24%-29.52%0/4multi_resolution80 / 20
synthetic_pairs4/4run_0024_tcn_huber_adamw153.4009172.95%-13.03%p0-89.7717-21.80%-45.31%-59.2289-16.35%-28.57%0/4regime_synthetic80 / 40
cross_sectional_relative4/4run_0031_cnn1d_pnl_adamw145.3821183.35%-25.31%p0-107.1835-34.38%-48.54%-37.0291-6.37%-28.39%0/4cross_sectional80 / 40
shorter_output_204/4run_0019_cnn1d_pnl_adamw141.7074189.19%-31.65%p0-59.13762.56%-41.13%-52.3093-14.13%-28.98%0/4regime80 / 20
cross_sectional_output204/4run_0063_cnn1d_pnl_adamw135.2662171.73%-24.31%p0-137.9049-52.16%-57.16%-78.0350-27.40%-33.76%0/4cross_sectional80 / 20
long_output_604/4run_0043_cnn1d_pnl_adamw133.8437171.19%-24.90%p0-32.493615.89%-32.25%-24.92644.59%-23.07%1/4regime80 / 60
no_signflip_ablation4/4run_0048_cnn1d_pnl_adamw127.0574157.62%-20.37%p0-52.41344.92%-38.22%-16.055930.99%-32.92%2/4regime80 / 40
longer_input_1204/4run_0016_tcn_huber_adamw123.5888159.88%-24.19%p0-53.3941-5.40%-32.00%-55.7270-7.53%-32.13%0/4regime120 / 40
baseline_v3_like4/4run_0003_tcn_huber_adamw117.5532151.06%-22.34%p0-134.4643-49.48%-56.66%-62.5674-22.93%-26.43%0/4base80 / 40
voltarget_returns4/4run_0028_tcn_huber_adamw37.361774.19%-24.55%p0-94.0915-27.40%-44.46%-61.8533-18.60%-28.84%0/4voltarget80 / 40
regime_voltarget4/4run_0036_tcn_huber_adamw37.361774.19%-24.55%p0-94.0915-27.40%-44.46%-61.8533-18.60%-28.84%0/4regime_voltarget80 / 40
fee2bps_shorter_output20_base4/4run_0083_cnn1d_pnl_adamw4.266255.86%-34.40%p0-121.2585-44.66%-51.07%-19.8840-1.68%-13.64%0/4base80 / 20

Runs détaillés — triés par score Validation

IdéeRunVal scoreVal gainVal DDTest scoreTest gainTest DDCalmar TestSeuil capitalScore éco ancienSeuil écoExposure
regime_multi_resolution_output20run_0071_cnn1d_pnl_adamw276.1426306.28%-20.09%-83.1434-21.07%-41.38%-0.5091p0-14.5937p800.9894
regime_multi_resolution_output20run_0072_tcn_huber_adamw152.0861166.88%-9.87%-87.0538-33.46%-35.73%-0.9365p50-17.5165p800.7978
regime_multi_resolution_output20run_0073_mlp_directional_adamw-11.58881.29%-8.59%-59.6165-21.18%-25.62%-0.8268p80-13.2011p800.5330
regime_multi_resolution_output20run_0070_mlp_directional_rmsprop-29.5947-10.21%-12.92%-61.8168-24.48%-24.89%-0.9832p80-15.3169p800.5460
no_signflip_multi_resolution_output20run_0079_cnn1d_pnl_adamw228.7107263.24%-23.02%-102.3769-36.17%-44.14%-0.8195p0-19.2614p800.9888
no_signflip_multi_resolution_output20run_0078_mlp_directional_rmsprop104.9993124.86%-13.24%-91.8464-36.46%-36.92%-0.9876p0-20.7139p800.9746
no_signflip_multi_resolution_output20run_0081_mlp_directional_adamw32.571140.88%-5.54%-40.5362-12.14%-18.93%-0.6415p60-12.2019p800.8037
no_signflip_multi_resolution_output20run_0080_tcn_huber_adamw-8.854815.69%-16.36%-54.7268-12.88%-27.90%-0.4617p80-16.3139p800.3614
cross_sectional_output60run_0076_tcn_huber_adamw194.4847211.27%-11.19%84.3512130.39%-30.69%4.2482p02.4078p800.9817
cross_sectional_output60run_0075_cnn1d_pnl_adamw152.8233188.50%-23.78%-72.9391-10.88%-41.37%-0.2629p05.6460p800.9676
cross_sectional_output60run_0074_mlp_directional_rmsprop18.746141.44%-15.13%-62.6934-12.32%-33.58%-0.3668p0-18.4324p800.9906
cross_sectional_output60run_0077_mlp_directional_adamw-21.1697-6.80%-9.58%-25.5876-9.40%-10.79%-0.8709p80-10.6094p800.5861
short_input_40run_0039_cnn1d_pnl_adamw191.7437229.87%-25.42%-83.8367-27.38%-37.64%-0.7274p0-21.2181p800.9564
short_input_40run_0040_tcn_huber_adamw155.7658178.34%-15.05%-58.1068-3.78%-36.22%-0.1043p0-29.7923p700.9906
short_input_40run_0041_mlp_directional_adamw29.877938.03%-5.43%-24.9013-4.16%-13.83%-0.3011p0-10.5069p800.9823
short_input_40run_0038_mlp_directional_rmsprop-17.0201-1.43%-10.39%-34.3200-13.43%-13.92%-0.9647p80-14.6396p800.5884
regime_featuresrun_0010_cnn1d_pnl_adamw187.2258215.78%-19.04%-80.3716-21.33%-39.36%-0.5419p0-0.3191p800.9976
regime_featuresrun_0011_tcn_huber_adamw147.4029174.91%-18.34%-59.9485-4.62%-36.89%-0.1252p0-44.9089p600.9923
regime_featuresrun_0009_mlp_directional_rmsprop-14.5562-1.51%-8.70%-29.0445-10.84%-12.14%-0.8933p80-18.8420p800.6533
regime_featuresrun_0013_mlp_directional_adamw-34.0033-8.08%-17.29%-55.7544-21.89%-22.58%-0.9695p50-12.0494p800.9133
fees_2bps_stressrun_0051_cnn1d_pnl_adamw187.2258215.78%-19.04%-80.3716-21.33%-39.36%-0.5419p0-0.3191p800.9976
fees_2bps_stressrun_0052_tcn_huber_adamw-7.023932.02%-26.03%-86.1094-22.33%-42.52%-0.5252p0-10.4820p800.9292
fees_2bps_stressrun_0050_mlp_directional_rmsprop-14.5562-1.51%-8.70%-29.0445-10.84%-12.14%-0.8933p80-18.8420p800.6533
fees_2bps_stressrun_0053_mlp_directional_adamw-34.0033-8.08%-17.29%-55.7544-21.89%-22.58%-0.9695p50-12.0494p800.9133
time_pct_minmaxrun_0006_cnn1d_pnl_adamw180.3419217.14%-24.53%-119.1926-43.58%-50.41%-0.8647p0-25.1578p700.9570
time_pct_minmaxrun_0005_mlp_directional_rmsprop125.7456145.04%-12.86%-64.7461-13.05%-34.47%-0.3786p0-12.4843p800.9817
time_pct_minmaxrun_0007_tcn_huber_adamw110.8454137.91%-18.04%-76.0359-11.80%-42.83%-0.2754p00.2996p800.9959
time_pct_minmaxrun_0008_mlp_directional_adamw99.4184123.23%-15.87%-73.0204-19.07%-35.97%-0.5303p0-9.7314p800.9758
regime_ohlc_ta_output20run_0067_cnn1d_pnl_adamw169.6702210.14%-26.98%-63.8898-10.28%-35.74%-0.2876p0-14.5067p800.9381
regime_ohlc_ta_output20run_0069_mlp_directional_adamw20.496935.15%-9.77%-1.006612.83%-9.22%1.3908p60-1.3205p800.8697
regime_ohlc_ta_output20run_0066_mlp_directional_rmsprop20.373435.43%-10.04%-39.0151-3.58%-23.62%-0.1515p60-15.7925p800.8785
regime_ohlc_ta_output20run_0068_tcn_huber_adamw-17.53910.19%-11.82%-39.0492-9.29%-19.84%-0.4683p80-10.5132p800.4676
ta_ohlc_atr_rsi_output20run_0055_cnn1d_pnl_adamw165.3142206.59%-27.52%-120.2944-44.24%-50.70%-0.8726p0-42.3194p800.9882
ta_ohlc_atr_rsi_output20run_0056_tcn_huber_adamw54.131296.94%-28.54%-119.4042-43.96%-50.30%-0.8739p0-29.7677p700.9982
ta_ohlc_atr_rsi_output20run_0054_mlp_directional_rmsprop9.899824.33%-9.62%-60.7698-22.00%-25.84%-0.8514p50-13.0828p800.8862
ta_ohlc_atr_rsi_output20run_0057_mlp_directional_adamw-3.03965.51%-5.70%-27.4637-7.79%-13.11%-0.5945p80-2.0251p800.5130
multi_resolution_regime_output20run_0059_cnn1d_pnl_adamw155.5216185.67%-20.10%-95.5368-27.20%-45.56%-0.5971p0-3.3165p800.9917
multi_resolution_regime_output20run_0058_mlp_directional_rmsprop116.1900149.38%-22.12%-32.3189-0.24%-21.39%-0.0110p0-17.8218p800.9758
multi_resolution_regime_output20run_0061_mlp_directional_rmsprop116.1900149.38%-22.12%-32.3189-0.24%-21.39%-0.0110p0-17.8218p800.9758
multi_resolution_regime_output20run_0060_tcn_huber_adamw72.3818118.39%-30.67%-41.651514.83%-37.66%0.3939p0-7.7611p800.9853
synthetic_pairsrun_0024_tcn_huber_adamw153.4009172.95%-13.03%-89.7717-21.80%-45.31%-0.4811p0-44.2204p700.9912
synthetic_pairsrun_0023_cnn1d_pnl_adamw44.244256.97%-8.48%-110.5812-42.67%-45.27%-0.9426p70-45.9848p800.7229
synthetic_pairsrun_0022_mlp_directional_rmsprop-12.81055.70%-12.34%-9.0148-1.42%-5.06%-0.2804p70-7.6457p800.7535
synthetic_pairsrun_0025_mlp_directional_adamw-18.5776-4.81%-9.18%-28.6861-10.89%-11.86%-0.9182p80-12.8206p800.5702
cross_sectional_relativerun_0031_cnn1d_pnl_adamw145.3821183.35%-25.31%-107.1835-34.38%-48.54%-0.7082p0-34.1325p800.9829
cross_sectional_relativerun_0032_tcn_huber_adamw33.894561.07%-18.12%-42.520122.10%-43.08%0.5129p0-13.9681p800.9900
cross_sectional_relativerun_0033_mlp_directional_adamw-11.6144-2.43%-6.12%-31.5382-10.97%-13.71%-0.8002p80-12.9013p800.6215
cross_sectional_relativerun_0030_mlp_directional_rmsprop-11.6474-1.16%-6.99%-10.5087-1.77%-5.83%-0.3036p80-5.3962p800.6126
shorter_output_20run_0019_cnn1d_pnl_adamw141.7074189.19%-31.65%-59.13762.56%-41.13%0.0623p03.4453p800.9552
shorter_output_20run_0020_tcn_huber_adamw65.6552102.32%-24.44%-72.4133-14.42%-38.66%-0.3730p0-12.2128p800.9717
shorter_output_20run_0018_mlp_directional_rmsprop-26.8423-6.34%-13.67%-35.0353-13.83%-14.14%-0.9784p80-10.4891p800.5702
shorter_output_20run_0021_mlp_directional_adamw-32.5819-3.59%-19.33%-45.4810-16.53%-19.30%-0.8563p50-7.0634p800.9086
cross_sectional_output20run_0063_cnn1d_pnl_adamw135.2662171.73%-24.31%-137.9049-52.16%-57.16%-0.9124p0-19.7826p701.0000
cross_sectional_output20run_0064_tcn_huber_adamw-2.398744.91%-31.54%-118.9017-41.45%-51.64%-0.8027p0-2.6239p800.9965
cross_sectional_output20run_0062_mlp_directional_rmsprop-32.1599-11.65%-13.67%-28.8799-10.87%-12.01%-0.9051p80-9.6360p800.5979
cross_sectional_output20run_0065_mlp_directional_adamw-32.5726-12.51%-13.38%-37.1682-13.34%-15.88%-0.8402p80-10.3196p800.5943
long_output_60run_0043_cnn1d_pnl_adamw133.8437171.19%-24.90%-32.493615.89%-32.25%0.4926p0-0.8584p800.9994
long_output_60run_0044_tcn_huber_adamw103.7084128.52%-16.54%9.847740.43%-20.39%1.9829p09.3317p800.9758
long_output_60run_0042_mlp_directional_rmsprop-6.76986.18%-8.63%-60.9631-22.35%-25.74%-0.8684p60-31.0445p800.8880
long_output_60run_0045_mlp_directional_adamw-26.0094-7.33%-12.45%-17.3593-6.71%-7.10%-0.9460p80-7.9135p800.5879
no_signflip_ablationrun_0048_cnn1d_pnl_adamw127.0574157.62%-20.37%-52.41344.92%-38.22%0.1287p0-24.7919p801.0000
no_signflip_ablationrun_0046_tcn_huber_adamw93.9233123.77%-19.90%7.681657.06%-32.92%1.7333p0-34.8880p700.9941
no_signflip_ablationrun_0049_tcn_huber_adamw93.9233123.77%-19.90%7.681657.06%-32.92%1.7333p0-34.8880p700.9941
no_signflip_ablationrun_0047_mlp_directional_rmsprop-30.7515-3.52%-18.16%-39.7934-13.92%-17.25%-0.8070p80-24.5938p800.6291
longer_input_120run_0016_tcn_huber_adamw123.5888159.88%-24.19%-53.3941-5.40%-32.00%-0.1687p0-48.9781p700.9575
longer_input_120run_0015_cnn1d_pnl_adamw111.2625149.47%-25.47%-101.6647-28.34%-48.88%-0.5798p0-50.1692p700.9823
longer_input_120run_0017_tcn_huber_adamw22.095133.73%-7.75%-13.16764.67%-11.89%0.3929p80-5.5411p800.3384
longer_input_120run_0014_mlp_directional_rmsprop14.738837.07%-14.88%-58.0598-9.66%-32.26%-0.2995p0-29.5706p800.9858
baseline_v3_likerun_0003_tcn_huber_adamw117.5532151.06%-22.34%-134.4643-49.48%-56.66%-0.8733p0-46.9543p700.9876
baseline_v3_likerun_0002_cnn1d_pnl_adamw77.8680104.39%-17.68%-101.3309-37.16%-42.78%-0.8685p50-59.0603p800.9298
baseline_v3_likerun_0001_mlp_directional_rmsprop-15.1049-1.18%-9.29%-5.01305.88%-7.26%0.8095p80-1.2489p800.6008
baseline_v3_likerun_0004_mlp_directional_adamw-16.2326-5.12%-7.41%-23.8038-8.70%-10.07%-0.8636p80-12.6043p800.5973
voltarget_returnsrun_0028_tcn_huber_adamw37.361774.19%-24.55%-94.0915-27.40%-44.46%-0.6162p0-25.5031p800.9729
voltarget_returnsrun_0027_cnn1d_pnl_adamw3.124362.49%-39.58%-130.0927-49.31%-53.86%-0.9156p0-45.5338p800.9976
voltarget_returnsrun_0026_mlp_directional_rmsprop2.192114.78%-8.39%-29.6152-9.80%-13.21%-0.7418p60-13.1477p800.8945
voltarget_returnsrun_0029_mlp_directional_adamw-15.6963-4.84%-7.24%-13.3494-3.95%-6.27%-0.6292p80-7.2865p800.6020
regime_voltargetrun_0036_tcn_huber_adamw37.361774.19%-24.55%-94.0915-27.40%-44.46%-0.6162p0-25.5031p800.9729
regime_voltargetrun_0035_cnn1d_pnl_adamw3.124362.49%-39.58%-130.0927-49.31%-53.86%-0.9156p0-45.5338p800.9976
regime_voltargetrun_0034_mlp_directional_rmsprop2.192114.78%-8.39%-29.6152-9.80%-13.21%-0.7418p60-13.1477p800.8945
regime_voltargetrun_0037_mlp_directional_adamw-15.6963-4.84%-7.24%-13.3494-3.95%-6.27%-0.6292p80-7.2865p800.6020
fee2bps_shorter_output20_baserun_0083_cnn1d_pnl_adamw4.266255.86%-34.40%-121.2585-44.66%-51.07%-0.8745p0-26.4411p800.9829
fee2bps_shorter_output20_baserun_0084_tcn_huber_adamw-18.62647.62%-17.50%-24.75121.85%-17.73%0.1041p80-7.2574p800.4139
fee2bps_shorter_output20_baserun_0085_mlp_directional_adamw-32.4251-10.62%-14.54%-15.0169-0.69%-9.55%-0.0722p80-7.2125p800.6173
fee2bps_shorter_output20_baserun_0082_mlp_directional_rmsprop-39.3863-13.18%-17.47%-11.4031-2.66%-5.83%-0.4565p80-7.3007p800.6132

Note méthodologique

Pour le score capital %, le meilleur seuil p est sélectionné uniquement sur Validation (`capital_score` Val), puis le même seuil est appliqué au Test capital. L'ancien score économique sélectionne son propre seuil séparément, donc il est normal de voir p0 en capital et p70/p80 en économique pour le même run. Les graphiques `Capital %` utilisent le seuil capital; les graphiques `Economic portfolio` utilisent l'ancien seuil économique.